Archive for May, 2009

A Comeback in the IPO Market

May 28, 2009

Could we see a comeback in the IPO market this year or next year? Here’s the bull’s case in a BusinessWeek story written by Steve Hamm and I, including reporting on a recent Goldman Sachs conference calling for a coming wave of IPOs.

A Comeback in the IPO Market
Recent activity has ended a drought of venture-backed initial public offerings, and some experts foresee a rebound to about 40 a year

Entrepreneurs and venture capitalists took notice just before the Memorial Day weekend when two technology companies had their initial public offerings in a matter of 24 hours. OpenTable (OPEN), a Web site for making restaurant reservations, went public one day after SolarWinds (SWI), a networking software company. The activity ended a drought of venture-backed IPOs that began last August. “It signals that investors are looking for growth stories,” says Robert R. Ackerman, managing partner of Allegis Capital, a venture firm.

Even before the two IPOs, Goldman Sachs (GS) organized an invite-only conference on May 12 in Silicon Valley, called “The Next Wave IPO Forum,” in anticipation of an IPO rebound. Rather than organize multiple meetings around the country, Goldman Sachs invited dozens of venture capitalists and entrepreneurs to a gathering on Sand Hill Road so the bank could explain why it expects an upturn in public offerings later this year. Goldman said it sees 10 to 15 venture-backed companies that have already registered with the Securities & Exchange Commission and that could be ready to go public in fairly short order.

One example: Medidata Solutions Worldwide, a provider of electronic data management software for the health-care industry. “It feels to us like the IPO market is opening up,” says David B. Ludwig, a managing director of Goldman Sachs’ technology, media, and telecom sector in the firm’s Equity Capital Markets Group. “We expect to see an acceleration of filings in the next few months.”

NOT THE BOOM DAYS
No one is predicting a return to the boom-era days when more than 200 companies went public a year, but some financiers and bankers say the market could soon recover to the level of 40 or so venture-backed IPOs a year. To get there, market conditions must continue to improve, more high-quality companies need to file, and their stocks need to perform well after they go public. “Two IPOs don’t make a trend but it’s very hopeful,” says Fred Wilson, managing partner with the venture capital firm Union Square Ventures. “I think we will see the end of the IPO drought for venture-backed companies within the next year, possibly by the end of this year.”

Read the rest of the story here.

From Russia with Love: Facebook Lands $200 Million From Russian Investors

May 27, 2009

Here’s the top of my BusinessWeek story about Facebook’s big new financing round based on brief yet exclusive interviews with Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg and investor-of-the-moment, Russia’s Yuri Milner.

From Russia With Love: Facebook Lands $200 Million
The social networking site will tap Digital Sky Technologies for expansion funds in a deal valuing Facebook at $10 billion. Still no public issue

Ending months of fevered speculation over whether it would raise more money, social network Facebook said on May 26 that it will take a $200 million investment from Russia’s Digital Sky Technologies.

In return, DST is getting preferred stock worth 1.96% of Facebook, valuing the social network at $10 billion. This is the first time Facebook has raised major equity funding since late 2007, when Microsoft (MSFT) invested $240 million in exchange for a 1.6% stake that valued the site at $15 billion.

In a move that will help Facebook employees unlock some of the value of their shares before the company goes public or is sold, DST will purchase at least $100 million of Facebook common stock from current or former Facebook employees. DST co-founder Yuri Milner tells BusinessWeek that the agreement to buy common stock was not a precondition of the equity investment. “These are two separate transactions,” Milner says in an interview. DST and Facebook say they will release details of the plan this summer.

Read the rest of the story here.

Need Money for Your Startup? Meet the Super-Angels

May 24, 2009

Need money for your startup? Then you should read my new feature, “These Angels Go Where Others Fear to Tread,” in this week’s issue of BusinessWeek.

The story is about a new and increasingly prominent class of investors, which I call super-angels, who are financing startups as big-name venture capital firms conserve their cash. Over the last few years, these firms have funded hundreds of startups, including top outfits such as Facebook, Digg and Twitter.

My story focuses on First Round Capital and its co-founder Josh Kopelman. But there are a growing number of these firms, including Baseline Ventures, Soft Tech VC, Maples Investments, Felicis Ventures, True Ventures, and others.


[Risk-takers: First Round's partners Howard Morgan, Chris Fralic, and Rob Hayes]

Since there seems to be more super-angels popping up every week, I am going to start a sort of wiki list of the firms, which I hope you all will add names to. Check out the story here.

I also sat down with BusinessWeek assistant managing editor Jim Elllis for an interview about the story in our new weekly video podcast. Check it out here.

Verizon Wireless CEO Says More Netbooks on the Way In ’09

May 21, 2009

In the tech industry, netbooks are all the rage. So much so that even communications providers such as Verizon Wireless and AT&T are jumping on the bandwagon.

In a recent interview, Verizon Wireless CEO Lowell McAdam told me that the company’s number two priority this year is to broaden the line of devices and applications it offers to consumers. One part of that strategy is make a decent bet on net books. On May 17, Verizon Wireless began selling its first netbook, a Hewlett-Packard 1151NR, discounted to $199 with a two-year data contract starting at $40 a month.

But McAdam says the nation’s largest wireless carrier is signing contracts with other manufacturers, who he declined to name, to offer more netbooks later this year. “I expect we will have four or five more netbooks in the stores by end of the year.”

To learn more about the telecom carriers netbooks play, check out this BusinessWeek story that I worked on with Roger Crockett and Olga Kharif.

Recession Be Damned: Entrepreneurship Lives at TiEcon 2009

May 18, 2009

Apologies for not posting the last few days. I just got back from a trip to Northern California, where I moderated a panel at TiEcon 2009.

This is the first time I’ve been to the big TiEcon gathering at the Santa Clara Convention Center. And although attendance was said to be down this year (I heard 2,000 too 3,000 folks compared to 5,000), I thought it was a fantastic conference, buzzing with interesting people, energy and ideas–despite the recession.

Some of the people I met include LinkIn’s chief scientist DJ Patil (whose told me his father envisioned TiE), Jon Staenberg from the Seattle venture capital firm Rustic Canyon Partners, Slideshare CEO Rashmi Sinha, New Enterprise Associates partner Rohini Chakravarthy, masIT CEO Muthu Krishnan, CrossLoop cofounder Mrinal Desai, Highland Capital’s Mike Gaiss, Mozilla director Suneel Gupta, Richard Gordon of Barclays Wealth, and TiEcon president Vish Mishra. I will post my post-mortem on the conference shortly.

I snapped this photo of the lobby from the second floor of the conference.

tiecon

EU Slams Intel with Record $1.45 Billion Fine in Antitrust Case; Intel Remains Defiant; What will U.S. Courts Do?

May 13, 2009

The European Union made a huge statement today by fining Intel $1.45 billion for abusing its dominance in the computer chip market to exclude its only serious rival, Advanced Micro Devices.

This is third significant legal body to rule that Intel has violated anti-trust law. In 2008, the Korea Fair Trade Commission issued a $25.4 million fine against Intel saying that it abused its dominant position. In addition to a fine, the KFTC ordered Intel to stop the practice of offering payments to PC makers conditioned upon them not doing business with AMD. Intel is in the process of appealing the ruling.

In March of 2005, Intel agreed to stop using similar practices in Japan after the Japan Fair Trade Commission held that rebates and refunds paid to Japanese PC makers when they bought all or most of their chips exclusively from Intel were anticompetitive practices.

The European Union’s competition commissioner, Neelie Kroes, reached a similar conclusion, saying Intel had “used illegal anticompetitive practices to exclude its only competitor and reduce consumers’ choice — and the whole story is about consumers. ” She said Intel’s practices had “undermined innovation.”

Intel CEO Paul Ottelini said the decision was wrong in a strongly-worded statement and that the chip giant would appeal the decision. “We believe the decision is wrong and ignores the reality of a highly competitive microprocessor marketplace – characterized by constant innovation, improved product performance and lower prices,” said Ottelini. “There has been absolutely zero harm to consumers.”

Now, the big question is what U.S. courts will have to say about these issues. AMD’s suit against Intel has been pushed back to 2010. In addition, the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and New York Attorney General’s office are investigating Intel for abuse of its monopoly position.

Anti-trust law varies from country to country but the fact that high legal authorities in three of the world’s largest markets–Japan, Korea and now the EU–have ruled against Intel can only mean that the chances of Intel losing in the U.S. have gone up. Moreover, there’s a new sheriff in town, and the Obama Administration just warned corporate America that the government will more aggressively investigate big firms that hurt smaller competitors, contending that lax enforcement by the Bush administration contributed to the current economic troubles.

AMD applauded the EU decision in a statement. “Today’s ruling is an important step toward establishing a truly competitive market,” said Dirk Meyer, AMD president and CEO. “AMD has consistently been a technology innovation leader and we are looking forward to the move from a world in which Intel ruled, to one which is ruled by customers.”

When I wrote a long story about this issue back in 2005, after AMD filed suit against Intel, it was clear that Intel had a big problem on its hand. The legal term for the problem is “exclusionary pricing.” It probably wouldn’t be illegal for Intel to offer rebates and discounts to companies to purchase its own chips. As I wrote back in 2005, the problem arises when Intel uses “hundreds of millions of dollars in rebates, discounts, and marketing funds to drive computer makers, distributors, and retailers into exclusive or near-exclusive deals with Intel.”

“In one case, AMD says Toshiba (TOSBF ) stopped using AMD chips in 2001 because doing business with the chipmaker would “jeopardize Intel market development funds estimated to be worth $25 million to $30 million per quarter.” In 2002, Hewlett-Packard (HPQ ) said it would be willing to use AMD chips only if AMD paid the computer maker $25 million each quarter to compensate for the expected retaliation from Intel, the suit contends.”

Interestingly, in his statement Ottelini doesn’t address exclusionary pricing, but only says that “we can discount our products to compete in a highly competitive marketplace.”

EC Ruling: Statement by Intel President and CEO Paul Otellini

SANTA CLARA, Calif., May 13, 2009 – Paul Otellini, Intel Corporation president and CEO today issued the following statement regarding the European Commission decision on Intel’s business practices:

“Intel takes strong exception to this decision. We believe the decision is wrong and ignores the reality of a highly competitive microprocessor marketplace – characterized by constant innovation, improved product performance and lower prices. There has been absolutely zero harm to consumers. Intel will appeal.”

“We do not believe our practices violated European law. The natural result of a competitive market with only two major suppliers is that when one company wins sales, the other does not. The Directorate General for Competition of the Commission ignored or refused to obtain significant evidence that contradicts the assertions in this decision. We believe this evidence shows that when companies perform well the market rewards them, when they don’t perform the market acts accordingly.”

“Intel never sells products below cost. We have however, consistently invested in innovation, in manufacturing and in developing leadership technology. The result is that we can discount our products to compete in a highly competitive marketplace, passing along to consumers everywhere the efficiencies of being the world’s leading volume manufacturer of microprocessors.”

“Despite our strongly held views, as we go through the appeals process we plan to work with the Commission to ensure we’re in compliance with their decision. Finally, there should be no doubt whatsoever that Intel will continue to invest in the products and technologies that provide Europe and the rest of the world the industry’s best performing processors at lower prices.”

More information about Intel and “Competition in the Innovation Economy” is available at www.intel.com/pressroom/legal.

What Google’s David Lawee Recently Said About Twitter

May 12, 2009

Here’s a belated though interesting bit of news. I wanted to post this item a few weeks ago but life got in the way. I am posting it today because I still think it is newsworthy.

On March 27, I moderated a panel at the Stanford Global Technology Symposium. On the panel were top finance executives from three of the tech industry’s biggest and most acquisitive companies: David Lawee, Vice President of Corporate Development, Google; Dan’l Lewin, Corporate Vice President, Strategic and Emerging Business Development, Microsoft; and Claudia Fan Munce, Vice President Corporate Strategy, IBM & Managing Director, IBM Ventures.

As the moderator of the panel, I was very interested in hearing Lawee’s thoughts on Twitter, particularly after Google CEO Eric Scmidt had recently dissed the company as a “poor man’s email system.” Any time a CEO disses a company in public I take it as a sign that that the exec sees said company as a threat.

As vice president of corporate development, Lawee is responsible for all of the Google’s acquisitions and investments. So I asked if Google would consider buying Twitter. Here’s what he said:

“I think Twitter is an awesome business,” said Lawee. “It is exciting to see that in this downturn there is a company with such breakaway product success. I can’t talk about a specific acquisition of course. There are a lot of companies who look at what Google is doing, and say it’s an interesting business to me, if there is a way for us to get into it. And I think there is a lot of room for innovation once they are in. Twitter is a great example of potentially either of those.”

My takeaway on this comment is that Google respects Twitter, and has clearly been thinking about the company and what it means to Google. Whether or not they have had talks about a potential deal, I don’t know.

But Twitter is clearly a growing presence on Google’s radar. At Google’s Searchology event today, Google executive Marissa Mayer said that real-time search, or finding the most recent information, was the hardest unsolved problem in search.

Makes you wonder even more about what’s going on behind the scenes.

Intel Could Be on the Hot Seat (Again)

May 12, 2009

Tech trust-busting is back in vogue in Washington, and the timing couldn’t be worse for chipmaker Intel, says my colleague Aaron Ricadela.

Writes Ricadela: “In a May 11 speech in Washington, D.C., Assistant Attorney General Christine Varney announced a return to “vigorous antitrust enforcement action” by the Justice Dept. The government will “take a new tack” toward redressing monopolistic practices and wield active antitrust enforcement in response to the “economic distress” that can result from uncompetitive markets, Varney told an audience at the Center for American Progress, a liberal policy research group. She also warned courts and parties to lawsuits against invoking the antitrust policies of the Bush Administration, which has been seen as softer than the Clinton Administration in going after allegations of anticompetitive behavior.”

Check out the most-read story on BW.com today.

Search Challengers Are in Hot Pursuit of Google

May 9, 2009

As king of the Internet search business, Google has a bulls eye on its forehead. So far, no company has been able to get near the target, and most have missed the board entirely. Now, a new round of competitors, including WolframAlpha, Aardvark and Mahalo, are gearing up to throw another round of darts on the Googleplex.

Check out a BusinessWeek story on these upstarts by my colleague Rob Hof. Hof concludes that these firms will also have a hard time scoring points against Google.

“The main reason the new services face steep odds is that they’re not yet businesses—or not lucrative ones. Google’s huge impact was not so much in search technology but in perfecting a way to make a lot of money by matching relevant ads to search results,” writes Hof.

Videos: See the New Yankee Stadium

May 6, 2009

Last night, I went to my first game in the new Yankee Stadium. I have to say I think the team did a great job with the ball park, even though I am still annoyed that we got screwed over as long-time season ticket holders. We used to sit along the first base line but now we got stuck out in right field. So much for 10 years of loyalty. In this case, greed is not good.

Why do I like it? Well, for one the field looks great, and the proportions are very similar to the old majestic field. The stadium’s structure is pretty cool too, managing to blend the old-school retro style with cutting-edge technology. And last but not least, the outer environs of the stadium are way improved, with much better food options, many more bathrooms and spacious open walkways. Now, if we could only get rid of A-Fraud!


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.